I have developed a predictive model for selecting the stocks. The model uses selection criteria that have been shown to be correlated with price gains in stocks that fit within the "momentum" or "growth" category, as opposed to "value" stocks. The main drivers in the model are Industry Group Strength, Relative Strength, Sales Growth, Earnings Growth and Return on Equity. Most data is sourced from Thomson Reuters. Each week the model screens for stocks meeting the criteria (proprietary) and ranks them (proprietary) with the highest ranking stocks replacing the lower ranked stocks in the portfolio. For the past few months, few stocks have met the model's criteria, which leads to a higher than normal amount of cash in the portfolio. I expect that as more companies begin posting YOY Sales and Earnings growth that more stocks will meet the model's selection criteria. Hope this helps.
For 43 months this blog tracked a "live test" of the Strategic Growth Model portfolio. This real-time test commenced in January 2008 and ended in August, 2011, with all trades posted in advance.
The purpose was to demonstrate that a systematic approach to investing can yield exceptional returns in all market conditions. More information about the system may be found at the bottom of this page.
is a private investor; developed the Strategic Growth Model portfolio. Over the past 8 years, this systematic approach has been validated over a full Bull-Bear market cycle.
Hi Chris,
ReplyDeleteI have developed a predictive model for selecting the stocks. The model uses selection criteria that have been shown to be correlated with price gains in stocks that fit within the "momentum" or "growth" category, as opposed to "value" stocks. The main drivers in the model are Industry Group Strength, Relative Strength, Sales Growth, Earnings Growth and Return on Equity. Most data is sourced from Thomson Reuters. Each week the model screens for stocks meeting the criteria (proprietary) and ranks them (proprietary) with the highest ranking stocks replacing the lower ranked stocks in the portfolio. For the past few months, few stocks have met the model's criteria, which leads to a higher than normal amount of cash in the portfolio. I expect that as more companies begin posting YOY Sales and Earnings growth that more stocks will meet the model's selection criteria. Hope this helps.